Annual house price growth stalled in June – index
Annual house price growth ground to a halt in June, with property values down by 0.1% year on year, according to an index.
It was the first time that annual house price growth has been in negative territory since December 2012, the report from Nationwide Building Society said.
Prices fell 1.4% month on month, taking the average UK house price to £216,403.
The month-on-month fall was less severe than a 1.7% decline recorded in May.
Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist, said: “House prices in June were 3.2% lower than in April.
“Annual house price growth slowed to minus 0.1%, from 1.8% in May. This is the first time that annual house price growth has been in negative territory since December 2012.
“It is unsurprising that annual house price growth has stalled, given the magnitude of the shock to the economy as a result of the (coronavirus) pandemic.
“Economic output fell by an unprecedented 25% over the course of March and April – almost four times more than during the entire financial crisis.
“Housing market activity also slowed sharply as a result of lockdown measures implemented to control the spread of the virus.”
Mr Gardner said that as lockdown measures ease, housing market activity is likely to edge higher in the near term, albeit remaining below pre-pandemic levels.
He added: “Nevertheless, the medium-term outlook for the housing market remains highly uncertain. Much will depend on the performance of the wider economy, which will in turn be determined by how the pandemic and restrictions on activity evolve.”
As well as releasing monthly house price figures for the whole of the UK, Nationwide also released quarterly figures, looking at house price growth across the UK’s nations and regions.
Mr Gardner said no UK regions saw prices fall when comparing April, May and June with the same period in 2019.
He said: “The North West was the strongest performing region, with annual price growth picking up slightly to 4.8%.”
He said average house prices in London are now just 3% below all-time highs recorded in 2017, and 55% above their 2007 levels.
Across the UK, house prices remain 19% higher than in 2007.
Mr Gardner added: “Scotland was the strongest performing nation in quarter two, with annual price growth picking up to 4.0%.
“Conditions remained subdued in Wales and Northern Ireland, which saw annual price growth of 1.0% and 0.1% respectively.”
Jeremy Leaf, a north London estate agent and a former residential chairman of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics), said: “Prices are being kept in check by affordability issues and more supply gradually becoming available.
“But demand is picking up as some buyers emerge from enforced confinement in unsuitable property and/or relationships to take advantage of continuing low interest rates, while sellers are more realistic.”
Here are average house prices across the second quarter of 2020 and the annual growth, according to Nationwide Building Society:
– North West, £170,216, 4.8%
– Scotland, £154,695, 4.0%
– South West, £251,392, 2.3%
– London, £475,448, 2.1%
– Outer South East (includes Aylesbury Vale, Bedford, Brighton and Hove, Canterbury, Chichester, Colchester, Dover, Isle of Wight, Maldon, Milton Keynes, New Forest, Oxford, Portsmouth, Southampton, Uttlesford, Winchester, Worthing), £282,936, 2.1%
– Yorkshire and the Humber, £162,870, 1.9%
– Outer Metropolitan (includes Basildon, Bracknell Forest, Brentwood, Chelmsford, Chiltern, Crawley, Dartford, Epping Forest, Broxbourne, Dacorum, Hertsmere, St Albans, Stevenage, Watford, Horsham, Luton, Maidstone, Reading, Rushmoor, Sevenoaks, Slough, Southend-on-Sea, Guildford, Waverley, Woking, Tunbridge Wells, Windsor and Maidenhead, Wokingham, Wycombe) £364,529, 1.6%
– East Midlands, £187,812, 1.5%
– Wales, £162,089, 1.0%
– East Anglia, £230,652, 0.7%
– West Midlands, £194,577, 0.6%
– Northern Ireland, £143,437, 0.1%
– North East, £129,505, 0.0%