Covid-19 lockdowns take their toll with record fall for Eurozone economy

The European economy shrank by a record 3.8% in the first quarter as business activity from hotels and restaurants to construction and manufacturing was frozen by shutdowns aimed at preventing the spread of Covid-19.

The drop in the 19-country eurozone was the biggest since statistics began in 1995 and sharper than the plunge in the midst of the global financial crisis in the first quarter of 2009 after the bankruptcy of US investment bank Lehman Brothers.

The drop compares to a 4.8% contraction in the US during the first quarter as the shock from the outbreak hits economies around the world.

Unemployment rose only slightly, however, even amid the massive shutdowns that idled everything from florists to factories.

View of the empty metro station Temple in Paris (Thibault Camus/AP)
A view of an empty metro station in Paris (Thibault Camus/AP)

The February jobless figure rose to 7.4% in March from 7.3% in February, statistics agency Eurostat said Thursday.

Millions of workers are being supported by temporary short-hours programmes under which governments pay most of their salaries in return for companies agreeing not to lay people off.

US unemployment rose to 4.4% in March from 3.5% in February, though the eventual picture is likely far worse.

First-time claims for unemployment benefits have skyrocketed in the US as 26 million people applied through the first three weeks of April.

The statistics in Europe likely understate the depth of the fall since shutdown measures were mostly put in place only in March, the last of the three months in the quarter.

Germany European Central Bank
A pigeon flies by the European Central Bank in Frankfurt, Germany (Michael Probst/AP)

Figures from France suggested the extent of the downturn.

The economy shrank 5.8%, the most since the country’s statistics agency began keeping the figures in 1949.

The drop was particularly pronounced in services that involve face to face interaction, such as hotels and restaurants, retail stores, transportation and construction.

The figures come ahead of a meeting of the European Central Bank, which analysts think may expand its bond purchase programme that supports governments and borrowing markets.

The coronavirus pandemic is a truly global challenge. As I have said before, solidarity is in fact self-interest. So all countries must work together – first to defeat the coronavirus and then to rebuild our economies. (1/2)

— Christine Lagarde (@Lagarde) April 16, 2020

That decision may not come on Thursday but markets are awaiting an assessment from bank head Christine Lagarde.

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