How virus numbers are likely to change in the next few days

Here are six things to watch for in the coronavirus statistics in the near future:

– Global cases of the virus will pass a quarter of a million, probably before the weekend.

The rate of increase in reported cases has accelerated in the last few days. It took eight days for the total to jump from 100,000 to 150,000, but just four days to go from 150,000 to 200,000.

The World Health Organisation (WHO) put the total as of 5pm on March 18 at 207,860.

HEALTH Coronavirus
(PA Graphics)

– Italy will overtake China as the country with the most coronavirus-related deaths.

The number of cases and deaths in China has plateaued, while in Italy they are still rising fast.

China had reported 3,242 deaths as of March 18, while Italy had reported 2,976, according to the WHO. If current trends continue, Italy could overtake China in the next 24 hours.

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Medical staff wearing personal protective equipment (PPE)outside St Thomas' Hospital in Westminster, London, as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
Sold out delivery spots as the ASDA website is pictured on a laptop as Supermarket websites are overwhelmed by online orders during the COVID-19 Coronavirus pandemic as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
Signage outside a closed West Bridgford Infants School in Nottingham as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
SALTBURN BY THE SEA, UNITED KINGDOM - MARCH 30: A man dances with his daughter as residents of Coral Street in Saltburn come out of their homes at 6pm each evening to take part in Sing at Six as the UK adjusts to life under the Coronavirus pandemic on March 30, 2020 in Saltburn By The Sea, United Kingdom. Residents have being coming to their doorsteps and gardens to sing and dance along with each other every evening since the lockdown began as they try and maintain the morale of the street. Coronavirus (COVID-19) has spread to at least 199 countries, claiming over 36,000 lives and infecting more than 752,000 people. There have now been 22,141 diagnosed cases in the UK and 1,408 deaths. (Photo by Ian Forsyth/Getty Images)
SALTBURN BY THE SEA, UNITED KINGDOM - MARCH 30: Residents of Coral Street in Saltburn come out of their homes at 6pm each evening to take part in Sing at Six as the UK adjusts to life under the Coronavirus pandemic on March 30, 2020 in Saltburn By The Sea, United Kingdom. Residents have being coming to their doorsteps and gardens to sing and dance along with each other every evening since the lockdown began as they try and maintain the morale of the street. Coronavirus (COVID-19) has spread to at least 199 countries, claiming over 36,000 lives and infecting more than 752,000 people. There have now been 22,141 diagnosed cases in the UK and 1,408 deaths. (Photo by Ian Forsyth/Getty Images)
A sign outside the closed-down Prince of Wales pub reads "Thanks to the NHS and all our Key Workers", in Fleet, south west of London, on March 30, 2020, as life in Britain continues during the nationwide lockdown to combat the novel coronavirus pandemic. - Life in locked-down Britain may not return to normal for six months or longer as it battles the coronavirus outbreak, a top health official warned on Sunday, as the death toll reached passed 1,200. (Photo by Adrian DENNIS / AFP) (Photo by ADRIAN DENNIS/AFP via Getty Images)
EALING, ENGLAND - MARCH 30: A volunteer from Ealing Soup Kitchen prepares food parcels for clients on March 30, 2020 in Ealing, England. Like many other countries around the world, the United Kingdom is now on lockdown with the public being told to remain indoors and only leave their homes for groceries, healthcare or essential work. Those with no fixed address are facing a crisis as donations dry up and healthcare becomes a priority. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to many countries across the world, claiming over 30,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)
LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM - MARCH 30: A woman with an unknown condition is helped from an ambulance at the St Thomas' Hospital on March 30, 2020 in London, England. Hospitals across London are facing a surge in demand for critical care due to The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic (Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 30: Soldiers and private contractors help to prepare the ExCel centre which is being made into the temporary NHS Nightingale hospital, comprising of two wards, each of 2,000 people, to help tackle coronavirus on March 30, 2020 in London, England. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to many countries across the world, claiming over 30,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Stefan Rousseau - WPA Pool/Getty Images)
A paramedic wearing personal protective equipment (PPE) exits an ambulance outside St Thomas' Hospital in Westminster, London as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
EMBARGOED TO 1530 MONDAY 30 MARCH Soldiers and private contractors help to prepare the ExCel centre, London, which is being made into the temporary NHS Nightingale hospital, comprising of two wards, each of 2,000 people, to help tackle coronavirus. PA Photo. Picture date: Monday March 30, 2020. See PA story HEALTH Coronavirus. Photo credit should read: Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire
A refuse collector in Liverpool wears a facemask as he continues to do his job as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus. PA Photo. Picture date: Monday March 30, 2020. A total of 1,228 patients are reported to have died after testing positive for coronavirus in the UK. See PA story HEALTH Coronavirus. Photo credit should read: Peter Byrne/PA Wire
People maintain social distancing as they queue outside a post office in Wolverhampton city centre as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
British Airways and EasyJet planes are seen parked at Gatwick Airport in Crawley, West Sussex, after EasyJet announced it has grounded its entire fleet of 344 aircraft due to the coronavirus pandemic.
A motorist wearing a face mask drives through the streets of Glasgow as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus. (Photo by Andrew Milligan/PA Images via Getty Images)
A cyclist makes his way up a quiet Saint Vincent Street in Glasgow as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus. (Photo by Andrew Milligan/PA Images via Getty Images)
BIRMINGHAM, - MARCH 29: A man wearing a mask walks past Covid-19 themed graffiti in Birmingham city centre during the nationwide lockdownon March 29, 2020 in Birmingham, United Kingdom. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to many countries across the world, claiming over 30,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)
BIRMINGHAM, - MARCH 29: Police officers patrol a deserted Corporation Street in Birmingham city centre during the nationwide lockdown on March 29, 2020 in Birmingham, United Kingdom. Even on a normal Sunday the streets are usually busy with shoppers. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to many countries across the world, claiming over 30,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)
BIRMINGHAM, - MARCH 29: Aircraft sit idle as they are parked up at Birmingham Airport during the nationwide lockdown on March 29, 2020 in Birmingham, United Kingdom. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to many countries across the world, claiming over 30,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 29: British nationals arrive at a closed London Gatwick North Terminal after they were repatriated on Easy Jet, flight EZY 9662 from Alicante on March 29, 2020 in London, England. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to many countries across the world, claiming over 30,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Warren Little/Getty Images)
LULWORTH, ENGLAND - MARCH 28: A 'Go Home' is seen on the outskirts of Lulworth village on March 28, 2020 in Lulworth, United Kingdom. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to many countries across the world, claiming over 25,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Finnbarr Webster/Getty Images)
BOURNEMOUTH, ENGLAND - MARCH 28: General views of British Airways planes grounded at Bournemouth Airport on March 28, 2020 in Bournemouth, England. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to many countries across the world, claiming over 25,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Naomi Baker/Getty Images)
A medical staff member wearing closes and a face mask, tests an NHS worker for the novel coronavirus COVID-19 at a drive-in facility set up in the carpark of Chessington World of Adventures in Chessington, Greater London on March 28, 2020. - Britain on March 24 said it will open a 4,000-bed field hospital at a London exhibition centre to treat coronavirus cases in the latest measure to tackle the outbreak after the government ordered a nationwide lockdown. (Photo by Glyn KIRK / AFP) (Photo by GLYN KIRK/AFP via Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 27: (----EDITORIAL USE ONLY â MANDATORY CREDIT - "10 DOWNING STREET / ANDREW PARSONS / HANDOUT" - NO MARKETING NO ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS - DISTRIBUTED AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS----) Workers are seen at newly built Nightingale Hospital London for Covid-19 at the Excel in London, United Kingdom on March 27, 2020. The Military and contractors build the Nightingale Hospital in London for Covid-19 patients. (Photo by Andrew Parsons / 10 Downing Street / Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)
A sign at the gates of Battersea Park in London, giving information on social distancing in the park, as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus. (Photo by Kirsty O'Connor/PA Images via Getty Images)
SURBITON, ENGLAND - MARCH 28: Chalk writing on a pavement on March 28, 2020 in Surbiton, England The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to many countries across the world, claiming over 25,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Ker Robertson/Getty Images)
A sign in Holland Park, London, urging people to stay indoors, as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus. (Photo by John Walton/PA Images via Getty Images)
A member of the military at the ExCel centre in London which is being made into a temporary hospital - the NHS Nightingale hospital, comprising of two wards, each of 2,000 people, to help tackle coronavirus. (Photo by Yui Mok/PA Images via Getty Images)
BRIGHTON, ENGLAND - MARCH 28: Brighton beach is almost deserted on March 28, 2020 in Brighton, England. Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to at least 182 countries, claiming over 10,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)
The Wembley arch in London is lit up in the colours of the Italian flag as a gesture of solidarity from the England Football Team. (Photo by Adam Davy/PA Images via Getty Images)
A member of the media wearing a protective face mask walks in front of Number 11 Downing Street, where Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson is self-isolating in his flat above, in central London, March 27, 2020. - British Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced on Friday that he is self-isolating after testing positive for COVID-19. (Photo by Tolga AKMEN / AFP) (Photo by TOLGA AKMEN/AFP via Getty Images)
A very quiet London St Pancras International railway station as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus. (Photo by Victoria Jones/PA Images via Getty Images)
Piccadilly Circus, London, as lockdown remains in place across the UK to help curb the spread of the coronavirus. (Photo by Aaron Chown/PA Images via Getty Images)
A couple walk through a near-deserted Arndale Centre in Manchester, north-west England, on March 27, 2020. - Manchester United will refund supporters if they have to play their remaining home games of the season behind closed doors or if they are scrapped due to the coronavirus pandemic. (Photo by Oli SCARFF / AFP) (Photo by OLI SCARFF/AFP via Getty Images)
Police stop motorists as they travel on Park Street, Bristol, where random checks on essential travel are taking place as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
An information board displays a message asking people to "stay home" in Manchester, north-west England, on March 27, 2020. - Manchester United will refund supporters if they have to play their remaining home games of the season behind closed doors or if they are scrapped due to the coronavirus pandemic. (Photo by Oli SCARFF / AFP) (Photo by OLI SCARFF/AFP via Getty Images)
A worker puts up a notice advising against non-essential travel, at a Docklands Light Railway (DLR) station at the ExCel centre in London which is being made into a temporary hospital - the NHS Nightingale hospital, comprising of two wards, each of 2,000 people, to help tackle coronavirus.
The Men's toilet facilities at the Strensham Services on the M5 Motorway in Worcestershire where alternate urinals are out of use to maintain social distancing as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
Workers from the Bristol City Centre Business Improvement District (BID) cleaning high contact public areas around Park Street and College Green, Bristol, using hot water with disinfectant and a high pressure hose, as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus. The cleaning opertaion is concentrating on surfaces that have a high level of public contact.
Members of the public wearing masks queue to enter shops in Melton Mowbray as the UK continues in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
A man wearing a protective face mask and clothing in Westminster, London after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
A liquid oxygen tank is lifted by a crane at the ExCel centre, in east London, which is being made into a temporary hospital - the NHS Nightingale hospital - comprising of two wards, each of 2,000 beds, to help tackle the coronavirus pandemic.
Tape marks out 2 metre sections on the floor to implement social distancing measures at a Tesco store in Peterborough, after Prime Minister Boris Johnson has put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
A lady with her children enjoy the beach in Broadstairs, Kent, after Prime Minister Boris Johnson has put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
A London Ambulance service vehicle waits on a ramp at the ExCel centre, in east London, which is being made into a temporary hospital - the NHS Nightingale hospital - comprising of two wards, each of 2,000 beds, to help tackle the coronavirus pandemic.
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 25: Construction workers wear masks and maintain social distancing as they continue working near Battersea Power Station on March 25, 2020 in London, England. British Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, announced strict lockdown measures urging people to stay at home and only leave the house for basic food shopping, exercise once a day and essential travel to and from work. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to at least 182 countries, claiming over 18,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more. (Photo by Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)
4-year-old Lara Young from Wimbledon, one of many children across the UK who has created and placed a rainbow picture in her window in response to the Coronavirus outbreak. Photo credit should read: Katie Collins/EMPICS
A sign directing the way to get to a Priority Assessment Pod the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 24: London’s flagship London Store Nike Town on Oxford Street showing the new Nike play Inside, Play for the world campaign. Nike’s COVID-19 community response has committied over $15 million to response efforts and Nike’s co-founder Phil Knight and wife Penny, executive chairman of the board Mark Parker and wife Kathy, and the brand’s current president CEO John Donahoe and wife Eileen have personally pledged to donating a combined $10 million towards the efforts. British Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, announced strict lockdown measures urging people to stay at home and only leave the house for basic food shopping, exercise once a day and essential travel to and from work. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread to at least 182 countries, claiming over 10,000 lives and infecting hundreds of thousands more.
Passengers ride a Jubilee Line Underground train at rush hour through central London after Sean O'Callaghan, Assistant Chief Constable at British Transport Police, said only those making essential journeys for work should be using the Tube and rail network.
A quiet London Bridge station, the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
A sign for commuters to keep their distance, at Canary Wharf underground station, the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
A deserted Piccadilly Circus in London, the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
Empty streets in Skegness the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
A couple hug on the steps on The National Gallery in Trafalgar Square in London the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
Simon Cotterill, Head Teacher of Manor Park School and Nursery in Knutsford Cheshire, sits in an empty classroom, the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
The shops of Liverpool One are deserted, the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus. PA Photo. Picture date: Tuesday March 24, 2020. See PA story HEALTH Coronavirus. Photo credit should read: Peter Byrne/PA Wire
People wearing face masks look at a mobile phone in Leicester, the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
A view of Lakeside Retail Park in Thurrock, Essex, the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
A couple wearing protevtive equipment walk by the Bullring in Birmingham, the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson put the UK in lockdown to help curb the spread of the coronavirus.
The spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in East Grinstead
A pedestrian walks past an advertisement for 'Panicky in the UK' displayed on a phone box in the Soho district after they closed because of the spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), in London, Britain, March 22, 2020. REUTERS/Simon Dawson
The sun rises behind the London Eye wheel, as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, in London, Britain, March 23, 2020. REUTERS/Toby Melville
General view as a person walks over the Millennium Bridge, as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, in London, Britain, March 23, 2020. REUTERS/Toby Melville
Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson speaks during a news conference on the ongoing situation with the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in London, Britain March 22, 2020. Ian Vogler/Pool via REUTERS
A Primark store in Nottingham after the company announced yesterday that they will be closing all UK stores to help limit the spread of coronavirus.
Commuters walk past a coronavirus notice on London Bridge, as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, in London, Britain, March 23, 2020. REUTERS/Toby Melville
A London Underground notice at Westminster tube station, as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, in London, Britain, March 23, 2020. REUTERS/Toby Melville
Henry Oliver (10) takes part in a youtube P.E. class run by Joe Wicks at their home in East Grinstead, as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, in East Grinstead, Britain, March 23, 2020. REUTERS/Adam Oliver
Staff wears masks as they process orders at the Shikara Indian Restaurant in Whitley Bay, Tyne and Wear, where they have closed the restaurant to sit-down customers and started doing takeaway meals and deliveries as part of the UK's response to the coronavirus pandemic.
Zak carries carveries from the Sneyd Arms to be delivered to people on Mother's Day in Keele, Newcastle-under-Lyme as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues. Newcastle-under-Lyme, Britain March 22, 2020 REUTERS/Carl Recine
Picnic tables at a tea stall at British Camp in the Malvern Hills are covered in tape as tourist boards across the UK have urged people to respect Government advice on social distancing and unnecessary travel as many continue to go on pre-planned holidays.
General view as teacher Wendy Couldridge teaches her own children Noah (9) and Milly (7) from home as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, Hertford, Britain, March 23, 2020. REUTERS/Andrew Couldridge
Alice and Joseph Wilkinson take part in a youtube P.E. class at their home in Manchester, as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, in Manchester, Britain, March 23, 2020. REUTERS/Phil Noble
General view of the city as people take a walk on Primrose Hill as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, in London, Britain, March 23, 2020. REUTERS/Hannah McKay
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 20: A lone commuter sits onboard a bus as it passes a near-empty Trafalgar Square on March 20, 2020 in London, England. Coronavirus (Covid-19) has spread to at least 182 countries, claiming over 10,000 lives and infecting more than 250,000 people. There have now been 3,269 diagnosed cases in the UK and 144 deaths. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)
Customers stock up on toilet roll at Costco as the Chancellor is to unveil an emergency package aimed at protecting workers' jobs and wages as they face hardship in the fight against the coronavirus pandemic. (Photo by Mike Egerton/PA Images via Getty Images)
People wearing protective face mask wait for a bus in front of the St. Paul's Cathedral, as the number of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases grow around the world, in London
Coronavirus UK LIVE: Schools to close across country as Chancellor unveils fresh emergency package for worst-hit workers
Shoppers queue to enter a Tesco supermarket in West London
Reception class teacher Inez Horn poses for a photograph with five-year-old Ava Marshall, as she shows her how to use a laptop for online studying at Oakwood Infant school in Hartley Wintney, on March 20, 2020, as schools get set to close at the end of the day. - British schools close indefinitely on Friday as part of tougher government measures to stem the coronavirus pandemic, following similar shutdowns in Europe and across the world. Prime Minister Boris Johnson had resisted the move, fearing its impact on the workforce, but changed course as the COVID-19 outbreak worsened across Britain. (Photo by ADRIAN DENNIS / AFP) (Photo by ADRIAN DENNIS/AFP via Getty Images)
LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM MARCH 20, 2020 - Coronavirus: people queueing outside Savers store in Wood Green- PHOTOGRAPH BY Matthew Chattle / Barcroft Studios / Future Publishing (Photo credit should read Matthew Chattle/Barcroft Media via Getty Images)
Empty carriages are seen at a near-deserted tube station as Londoners heed a call to stay home due to the novel coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak, in London on March 20, 2020. - Britain's Prime Minister said Thursday that Britain could "turn the tide" on coronavirus within 12 weeks -- but only if people heed advice to avoid social contact. (Photo by Tolga AKMEN / AFP) (Photo by TOLGA AKMEN/AFP via Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 20: A man walks across a quiet Oxford Circus on March 20, 2020 in London, England. Coronavirus (COVID-19) has spread to at least 182 countries, claiming over 10,000 lives and infecting more than 250,000 people. There have now been 3,269 diagnosed cases in the UK and 144 deaths. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 20: A man stands on an empty platform at Tower Hill underground station during what would usually be a very busy period for commuters on March 20, 2020 in London, England. Coronavirus (COVID-19) has spread to at least 182 countries, claiming over 10,000 lives and infecting more than 250,000 people. There have now been 3,269 diagnosed cases in the UK and 144 deaths. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)
A passenger waits on the platform at Westminster tube station in London, as NHS England announced that the coronavirus death toll had reached 137 in the UK. (Photo by Kirsty O'Connor/PA Images via Getty Images)
A shopper peruses near-empty shelves at a supermarket in the centre of York, northern England, on March 19, 2020. - Britain's supermarkets on Wednesday stepped up efforts to safeguard supplies, especially for vulnerable and elderly customers, as the sector battles stockpiling caused by coronavirus panic. (Photo by OLI SCARFF / AFP) (Photo by OLI SCARFF/AFP via Getty Images)
A man wearing a surgical face mask as a precautionary measure against covid-19, sits with other passengers on the concourse at King's Cross train station in central London, on March 19, 2020, as the coronavirus pandemic continues. - Britain announced Wednesday it would be closing schools in the coming days and placing 20,000 troops on standby in efforts to stem the spread of coronavirus, as the death toll topped 100. Prime Minister Boris Johnson had held off following the lead of other European countries because of the impact it would have on the workforce. (Photo by ISABEL INFANTES / AFP) (Photo by ISABEL INFANTES/AFP via Getty Images)
A sign advises passengers not to travel if they have covid-19 symptoms, at King's Cross train station in central London, on March 19, 2020, as the coronavirus pandemic continues. - Britain announced Wednesday it would be closing schools in the coming days and placing 20,000 troops on standby in efforts to stem the spread of coronavirus, as the death toll topped 100. Prime Minister Boris Johnson had held off following the lead of other European countries because of the impact it would have on the workforce. (Photo by ISABEL INFANTES / AFP) (Photo by ISABEL INFANTES/AFP via Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 19: British Prime Minister Boris Johnson gestures as he speaks during a coronavirus news conference inside number 10 Downing Street on March 19, 2020 in London, England. Coronavirus (Covid-19) has spread to over 177 countries in a matter of weeks, claiming over 8,000 lives and infecting over 230,000. There are currently 2,692 diagnosed cases in the UK with 137 deaths. (Photo by Leon Neal - WPA Pool/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 18: A commuter wears a face-mask as she prepares to travel on an underground train, despite Government recommendations that people avoid social contact during the ongoing COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic, on March 18, 2020 in London, England. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)
A person wearing a full face mask in King's Cross underground station in London after NHS England announced that the coronavirus death toll had reached 104 in the UK. (Photo by Ian Hinchliffe/PA Images via Getty Images)
A person wearing a full face mask in King's Cross underground station in London after NHS England announced that the coronavirus death toll had reached 104 in the UK. (Photo by Ian Hinchliffe/PA Images via Getty Images)
LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM - MARCH 18: A woman in a protective face mask leaves a Pret A Manger restaurant on March 18, 2020 in London, England. The company is closing their seating areas to operate mainly as a takeaway business amid the coronavirus outbreak as the UK government announces stricter measures and social distancing advice to deal with the novel corona virus outbreak. (Photo by Justin Setterfield/Getty Images)
A very quiet Westminster Bridge, as the death toll from coronavirus in the UK reached 71 people.
A sign at a Mcdonald's branch in Leamington Spa, Warwickshire. All McDonalds restaurants in the UK and Ireland become takeaways, drive-thrus and delivery operations as the company attempts to cope with the coronavirus outbreak.
The closed off seating area inside a McDonald's restaurant in Leicester, as all McDonalds restaurants in the UK and Ireland become takeaways, drive-thrus and delivery operations as the company attempts to cope with the coronavirus outbreak.
A quiet pub in Edinburgh on St Patrick's Day, the day after Prime Minister Boris Johnson called on people to stay away from pubs, clubs and theatres, work from home if possible and avoid all non-essential contacts and travel in order to reduce the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.
A man in a protective face mask walks past a British government public health campaign advertisement at Victoria underground station, as the number of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases grow around the world, London, Britain
LONDON, ENGLAND - MARCH 17: A quieter than usual view of Buckingham Palace from the Queen Victoria Memorial on March 17, 2020 in London, England. Boris Johnson held the first of his public daily briefing on the Coronavirus outbreak yesterday and told the public to avoid theatres, going to the pub and work from home where possible. The number of people infected with COVID-19 in the UK reached 1500 today with 36 deaths. (Photo by Chris Jackson/Getty Images)
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– There will be a big rise in the number of cases in the UK.

This is partly because the virus is spreading – but partly because the number of tests is about to go up.

The Government has said it wants to increase testing to a level of 25,000 a day within the next four weeks. Currently the level is around 6,000 a day.

As the volume of tests goes up, there is greater likelihood of more cases being identified.

HEALTH Coronavirus
(PA Graphics)

– The United States will overtake France and Germany in the number of confirmed cases of coronavirus.

Up to now it has been countries in East Asia and Europe that have reported the most cases of the disease. The US has lagged behind, possibly because it has not been testing as high as proportion of its population.

The latest WHO figures suggest that could soon change. The US had reported 7,087 cases as of March 18, just behind France (7,652) and Germany (8,198).

HEALTH Coronavirus
(PA Graphics)

– The disease could spread to the last few remaining virus-free countries.

There are still places yet to report their first confirmed case, according to the WHO, particularly in southern Africa – such as Angola, Botswana, Zimbabwe and Mozambique.

The WHO has also yet to record any cases in south-east Asian countries like Burma (also known as Myanmar) and Laos.

– Deaths will be reported in all parts of the UK.

As of the end of March 18, there had yet to be a coronavirus-related death reported by any NHS authorities in south-west England. Cases have been recorded in these areas, however.

The rest of the UK, including every other region of England, has reported cases and deaths.

HEALTH Coronavirus

(PA Graphics)

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