UK economy grew by 0.5 percent in three months after Brexit vote


Britain's economic growth has been confirmed at 0.5% in the third quarter, the Office for National Statistics said.

In its second estimate of gross domestic product (GDP), ONS figures confirmed that the economy escaped a major slowdown in the three months after the Brexit vote thanks to a strong performance from Britain's powerhouse services sector.

The ONS said that the numbers showed "limited effect so far from the referendum".

ONS figures also show that business investment grew in the three months following the Brexit vote, despite fears that it would take a major hit in the wake of the referendum.

Business investment rose 0.9% to £44.2 billion in the third quarter, compared to £43.8 billion over the previous three months.

The rise has been attributed to an increase in building investments.

However, on a year-on-year basis, business investment dropped 1.6% from £44.9 billion to £44.2 billion, marking the third consecutive annual decline.

Darren Morgan, head of GDP at the ONS, said: "Investment by businesses held up well in the immediate aftermath of the EU referendum, though it's likely most of those investment decisions were taken before polling day.

"That, coupled with growing consumer spending fuelled by rising household income, and a strong performance in the dominant service industries, kept the economy expanding broadly in line with its historic average."

The news comes days after it was revealed that the British economy is set to take a hit of almost £60 billion over the coming five years as a result of the vote to leave the European Union.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) slashed growth forecasts and predicted higher than previously expected borrowing. 

The OBR said the Government could be expected to borrow £122 billion more over the five years to 2020/21 than it predicted at the time of the Budget in March, with some £58.7 billion of this directly attributable to the referendum result and the cost of leaving the EU.


James Knightley, senior economist at ING, said the growth figures suggests the economy has weathered the Brexit storm very well "so far".

But he warned that rising inflation and the impact of Brexit uncertainty on investment will kick in next year.

He said: "Our main concern relates to a squeeze on household spending power brought about by a sharp pick-up in inflation that isn't matched by wage increases.

"We also expect a slowdown in hiring and investment by businesses as Brexit uncertainty kicks in and the political pressure rises once Article 50 is triggered."