UK house prices dropped between March and April, but experts said official figures are yet to show the true impact of the lockdown on Britain’s property market.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said house prices fell 0.2% month on month in April, with the average property value standing at £234,612.
Annual house price growth also slipped back to 2.6% in the year to April, down from 3.5% in March.
— Office for National Statistics (ONS) (@ONS) August 19, 2020
The index, which is released jointly with the Land Registry, had been suspended since the March figures were released in May after the lockdown effectively brought the property market to a standstill.
But the data used for the April index does not reflect the impact of coronavirus on the market, the ONS said.
The figures used are based on completed house sales, which can take up to two months to go through.
Experts said there has already been a mini-boom in property prices since lockdown restrictions eased, with the market reopening in May and Chancellor Rishi Sunak’s stamp duty cut sending activity surging.
More recent indicators have confirmed a strong pick-up, with the Halifax and Nationwide indices reporting month-on-month rises in July of 1.6% and 1.7% respectively.
But the bounce-back is not expected to last once the stamp duty cut comes to an end in January amid mounting job losses and consumer uncertainty due to the pandemic.
Howard Archer, chief economic adviser to the EY Item Club, said: “Housing market activity may see a further pick-up in the near term, providing some support to prices, as a result of the raising of the stamp duty threshold along with the release of some pent-up activity following the easing of lockdown restrictions.”
But he added: “Nevertheless, the EY Item Club suspects the upside for the housing market will be limited due to challenging fundamentals for consumers.
“Many people have already lost their jobs, despite the supportive government measures, while others will be concerned that they may still end up losing their job once the furlough scheme ends.”
The ONS data showed that, in England, average house prices increased by 2.5% over the year to April to £251,000, while they were up 5% in Wales to £169,000, ahead 1.6% in Scotland to £153,000, and 3.8% higher in Northern Ireland to £141,000.
London’s average house prices increased by 2.3% over the year to April, which was down sharply on the 4.7% leap in March, which had been the fastest rate of annual growth in the capital since 2016.