Champ Manager simulator tips Spain for Euro 2016 glory...and another England quarter-final exit


Spain are going to defend their European Championship title this summer.

That's according to the team at Championship Manager after they ran 100,000 simulations of the Euro 2016 tournament through their extensive database and Vicente del Bosque's men were the overwhelming choice to come up trumps.

Spain emerged as the winner in 30% of the simulations - world champions Germany were next best at 20% - and if that seems all too predictable England's forecast is not going to amuse you. Yep, they're going out in the quarters.

Graphic of Champ Manager simulations for Euro 2016
(Championship manager graphic)

If that is a dreary thought before a ball has even been kicked in the tournament the predictor did at least offer a glimmer of hope with England winning in 7% of the simulations, while they finished runner-up in one in every 10. We did say a glimmer.

But yeah, England went out in the last-eight 30% of the time. To put that into perspective Cristiano Ronaldo came out as top scorer as many times. So England crashing out in the quarters is as likely as the best player at the tournament being the leading goalscorer...

Cristiano Ronaldo winking
(Massimo Pinca/AP/PA)

The Champ Man team - who are behind the popular mobile phone manager simulation app - are pretty confident in their predictions too and have even placed a £1,000 charity bet on Spain to triumph at odds of 11/2.

They've also stuck £50 on Turkey as their most likely outsider, at 80/1, with any winnings set to be donated to GamesAid, a charity that helps disadvantaged or disabled children and young people.

There's good and bad news for Tottenham fans still getting over their late-season fade out with Harry Kane tipped to be among the top goalscorers, but Dele Alli is apparently one of the prime candidates in the tournament to see red.

Harry Kane celebrates scoring for England
(Nick Potts/EMPICS Sport)

Kane was the leading goalscorer in the Premier League this season and topped the Euro 2016 charts in 8% of the simulations to place him fourth behind Ronaldo, Thomas Muller and Zlatan Ibrahimovic.

Wales' star man Gareth Bale was further down the pile, topping the goalscoring in 3% of the simulations.

One prediction that particularly caught our eye was that Romania - who play hosts France on the opening night - are the most likely team to go down to 10 men in the tournament with Steliano Filip and Gabriel Torje the two most likely players at the tournament to see red.

Romania's Gabriel Torje
(Vadim Ghirda/AP/PA)

Also we should apparently look out for James Milner to be sent off at some stage after he was in the top-10 red-carded players behind Alli.

Which leaves us thinking both are going to get sent off in the quarter-finals.