Andy Murray has a 69.1% chance of beating Milos Raonic in the Wimbledon final, according to the Press Association's Rating System.
Using data from grass-court tennis over the last three years, Murray starts as favourite against big-serving Canadian Raonic, the player he beat to win the Aegon Championships at Queen's Club last month.
Murray has a 6-3 win-loss career record against Raonic, who will be appearing in his first grand slam final.
The pair have met twice in grand slams, with Murray winning both: in straight sets at the US Open in 2012 and by the long route at this year's Australian Open where Raonic led by two sets to one but was overhauled by the resurgent Scot.
Murray was impressive in his 6-3 6-3 6-3 victory over Tomas Berdych on Friday, and making just nine unforced errors in the match was key to his dominance - a statistic he would look to get close to in the title match.
How the Raonic serve flows from the Canadian's racket could be instrumental to how the final unfolds.
He thundered down 17 serves of 140mph or faster in the semi-final against Roger Federer, an incredible feat given over the entire tournament before Friday there had been only 16 by any player to pass that speed mark.
Raonic has made 137 aces in this year's Wimbledon, more than any other player, and cracked 23 beyond Federer's defences.
Murray will need to take his chances when they come along, as they could be few and far between against such a shot.
He capitalised on five out of 10 chances to break the Berdych serve on Friday, and over the tournament has taken 32 of 67 opportunities.
Raonic has seized on 16 of his 49 openings to break and may need to improve on that ratio to take the title on Sunday.
The PA Rating System is an estimated-outcome system based on the grass-court performances of players over the past three seasons.